Every Dark Cloud Has a Silver Lining

The revised RPGT is sure to dampen speculation in the property market. While this is good for home-occupier buyers and genuine investors, the same cannot be said for speculators. 

 Property prices have been going up and up since 2008 because of speculative demand. I bought a fully furnished corner lot in Aseana Puteri Condo at Bandar Puteri for RM380,000 in 2010. This unit can easily fetch RM650,000 presently. In 2006, this unit could be booked for RM280,000. 

The RPGT is now revised as follows:

 1. A property sold within 3 years after acquiring it, the gained tax is 30%

2.  A property sold within 4 years after acquiring it, the gained tax is 20% 

3.  A property sold within 5 years after acquiring it, the gained tax is 15% 

4.  Beyond 5 years, there is no gain tax for individuals, but for corporates, there is a

     gained tax of 5%.

Looking at the above taxes, it is hard to believe that speculation in the property sectors will not be dampened. One has also to factor in the transaction costs such as legal fees, stamp fees and brokerages. 

Once speculation is curtailed, demand will slow down. This will stabilize prices. 

It may even cause prices to drop substantially. 

What is of concern is that when demand slows down, developers will scald down their operations. This will hurt their bottom line. Companies involved in building materials will also be affected. 

For those companies that have good lands in fast-growth area like the Iskandar region, what they should do is to switch to high-end buildings that sell above RM1 million because foreigners are only allowed to buy properties priced above RM1 million. I think it is good for the country if more foreigners buy our properties as this simply mean an influx of foreign funds and foreigners who are financially sound.

Security means everything to every everybody. It is heartening to see that the government is cognizant of this fact, and have taken steps to beef up our military force and the police. When a country is not safe, not only tourism will be greatly affected, overall business will be affected as well. 

Every dark cloud has a silver lining. When speculators in the property market find it hard to make a fast buck, they may turn their attention to the stock market. Is this the silver lining? Let's wait and see what happens.

GST Vs SST

Even before budget 2014 is read out, one of the most talked-about subject is the GST. What exactly is GST? Well, it simply stands for Goods and Services Tax. Is the GST good or bad for you? This depends on who you are and your life style. As for the government, it will rake in RM20 billion more each year once it is implemented. So, definitely it is good for the government. It will also be good for the people provided the money collected is used wisely and with integrity.

Indonesia introduced GST in 1985, Thailand in 1992, and Singapore in 1994. For Malaysia it is announced to be in April 2015. So, we are the laggard in this respect.

Do not be overly concerned with the GST as some may actually benefit from it. Accordingly to Tan Sri Dr Fong Chan Onn, the GST will replace the SST (Sales and Services Tax). Presently, the sales tax is 10% and the services tax is 6%. This means that when the GST comes in,  the SST will be replaced and no longer applicable.

The purpose of the GST is to cast the tax net wider so that more people will pay taxes. Presently only about 1.7 million people pay income tax out of a population of 29 million. 

Most welcome about the GST is that some 40 basic food necessities such as rice, flour, sugar, milk powder, edible oil, wheat and oat are to be listed as zero tax items. Essential services such as healthcare may also be classified as tax-exempted.

If you wish to benefit from the GST, one way is to dine out less, and prepared your own food more often. Other ways include buying only what you need and avoid wastage. 

Cypark More Upside On The Card

This daily chart of Cypark shows the trend of the stock after this morning session. Even for the half day, volume has exceeded the volume of the previous full day. This is clearly an indication that demand for the stock has come in. It closed at RM2.21, up 4 sen. I think there is more upside for the stock.

Cypark Resources Berhad (CRB) is an integrated environmental engineering and technology provider.

Transforming dump sites, an environmental bane to an economic and environmental boon is the raison d’etre of our business. To read more, click here.

Budget 2014 A Boost to the Market?

Uppermost in everybody's mind must be Budget 2014. Najib has to put in place a people-friendly budget if he wants to have a good chance to win back the electorates. Cutting spending is not a good choice as many businesses will be affected. Increasing taxes to mitigate our debts is also not advisable as this is considered to be not people friendly.

We all know that our nation is in great debt because of corruption & cronyism. Once these are addressed, our problems are solved. Things such as a screw driver costs RM250 when it should be RM2.50 or a contract that can be done at RM10 million, but costs the government Rm100 million be must stopped.

I am sure Najib knows where our problems are. But has he really the capability to curb corruption? Let's wait and see.

My opinion is that this budget will emphasize on developments, curtail wastages, and restore credibility in the government.  

I believe that immediately after the budget, the stock market will turn bullish. This is my opinion.  I may be wrong but I have a good chance to be right. 

PKR Demand Improves

PKR completed minor round bottom with higher volume than those of the last few days. MACD has turned positive with its golden cross. The stock is likely to go higher.

BURSA UPGRADED TO RM10.10

The above daily chart of BURSA shows that the stock is in a gradual uptrend since hitting a low of RM6.90 and closing at RM7.05 with a doji on August 28, 13. It then went up to a high of RM7.65 before a minor correction brought it down RM7.40. Since then the stock has been trending up. The overhead resistance is at RM8.10. This is a important level. Once this level is decisively breached, the stock will trend higher.

HDBS Vickers Research analysts have upgraded the stock from "fully valued" to a buy with a target price at RM10.10. They predicted that Budget 2014 is likely to benefit BURSA in some ways.

Magni All Set For Higher Ground

Magni has a strong balance sheet with zero borrowings. Going by the chart, the stock is likely to trend higher.

The importance of trends & volume

Volume is an important indicator in a chart. Many people look at the price without paying any attention to the volume. This is a grave error.

A chart without volume is close to being useless. Volume signifies interest. Thus, the more volume transacted the more interest and more people being involved. This is a logical assumption. 

Buyers want to buy as low as possible while sellers want to sell as high as possible.

Sometimes there is wide spread between the two. 

When a buyer is  eager to buy, but finds that sellers are not willing to sell at a certain price, he will bid at a higher price.

The higher price will entice the sellers and some will sell. If the buyer wants to buy more but sellers have dried up, he will bid a little higher again. This process will continue until his wants are satisfied. This is how we can have an uptrend.

On the other side of the coin, a seller with a large stock wants to liquidate his position, but finds that his order has no buyers. So he lowers his price. The lower price will bring in some buyers. The price will keep on coming down as long as he is more eager to sell than the buyers are eager to buy. So here is how we have a downtrend.

When you want to buy a stock and find that the stock is in a downtrend, don't be impatient. Wait and watch closely. Wait until the downtrend has abated. When a downtrend has abated, it does not mean that an uptrend has begun. The stock can go into a side trend that may continue for a long time before a new trend develops. This new trend can either be up or down. You only buy when the new trend is up. If you have studied Japanese Candlestick, this will help you immensely to determine whether the trend has reversed.

So, when is it a good time to enter a trade? Here are some recommendations:

1. Buy at major support. (A major support is an important historic low.)

2. Buy at the beginning of an uptrend after a prolonged downtrend.

3. Buy when the stock is very much undervalued. Benjamin Graham said, "Buy dollar notes for 50 sen a piece."

4. Buy in a panic sale and sell in a panic buy.

5. The doji is an important candle. If you see one after a long downtrend, it the time to buy, and if you see one at the top after a long uptrend, it the time to sell. If you have no idea what a doji is, find it out at Investopedia.com.

Good luck, and Happy Trading.

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Inari turns bullish

After a very small correction, Inari turns bullish. It looks like a good time now to buy the stock. The market is always uncertain. We just have to change with the circumstances. I bought at RM1.16 this morning. You listen to me at your own risk.

Inari likely to drift lower

The above daily chart of Inari does not look good. The stock was rising well until Khazanah said
that it was not taking any stake in the company. If you are thinking of buying the stock, I think you should wait for the price to drop until you see a buy signal.

Support is at 98.5 sen, and then at 92.5 sen. This is from the technical point of view.

You listen to me at your own risk.

SPACs High Risk, High Reward

Is it advisable to invest in SPACs? SPACs stands for Special-Purpose Acquisition Companies. These companies are actually shell companies with nothing to show. They don't have any track record, any brand name or any asset. 

Basically, SPACs are meant to promote private equity investments, spur corporate transformation, and encourage merger & acquisitions.

 When you invest in SPACs, it means that you are handling over your money to a team of supposed-to-be professionals who will look for good assets to buy and invest. Obviously, what is most important here is the integrity and competency of the team. 

Competency without integrity is worse than integrity without competency. I wouldn't invest in a company that is either the one or the other. The worst is, when there is neither competency or integrity. Therefore, if you are about to invest in SPACs, you must, firstly, make a study of the management team. When you are convinced that the team is skillful and honest, then and only then, you hand over the team your money. Otherwise it is better to avoid them.

One more thing, don't forget that while the team is looking for qualified assets to buy, the company has to pay the team members their salaries. This means outflow of cash without any inflow. 

In America, there are more failures than successes as far as SPACs are concerned.

Presently we have three SPACs listed in Bursa. They are Hisbicus, Cliq, and Sona. More shall be coming. 

If you are risk-adversed, SPACs are not for you. 

Whatever action you take as a result of reading this article is your absolutely responsibility. 

When a bullish article is not to be taken at face value

The moment you read a bullish article about a certain stock,  do not rush in to buy. Not all bullish articles are meant for you to make money. Many are meant to benefit only a limited number of people. You know what I mean?

Bear in mind that big boys are very powerful. They are capable of manipulating the price;  they are also capable of manipulating the news.

If you don't want to be taken for a ride, you have to be careful; you must not act in haste. Many mistakes are made because of haste.

Check the latest quarterly report; check the balance sheet; check the income statement as well as the cash-flow statement. If you see some red flags that are not highlighted in the report, then that report must be read with skepticism.

Never buy a stock without having a good look at its chart. Never buy in a downtrend, and never ever go against the market. It is much stronger than you. 

If you don't listen to me, I can't help you.

A Glimpse of Heaven on Earth

The Kechara Forest Retreat will be a place like no other, nestled in the deep mountains of Chamang, Bentong, about 1 1/2 hours drive from Kuala Lumpur. This village is being created within the green tropical forest…

The Kechara Forest Retreat welcomes people from all walks of life to visit and practice. Away from the hustle and bustle of the city, it will feature various facilities and buildings designed to serve those who visit…

Click here to read more.

Founders of StemLife exit company

Corporate | SEPTEMBER 11, 2013 by Jose Barrock

Singapore listed Cordlife Group Ltd surfaced as a substantial shareholder in StemLife, buying 49.3 million shares or a 19.9% stake in the publicly traded Malaysian stem cell therapy and life- sciences company.

Interestingly enough the announcements to the local bourse indicates that the sellers are the founders off StemLife Sharon Low Su-Shing and Christina Lim Oi Wah.

According to the company’s latest annual report for FY2012 Low has 11.2% in StemLife, while Lim has 11.19% equity interest in the company.

It is not known how much Cordlife Group paid for the controlling block of StemLife, as the only detail offered was that the deal was done on September 3.

However the market seems to be positive on the entry of Cordlife. StemLife was up five sen to 37.5 sen at 3.50pm giving the company a market capitalisation of about RM92.8 million.

It is n not clear if Low the managing director and Lim the executive director will step down after selling out of the company.

Christina Lim Oi Wah (left) and Sharon Low Su-Shing

Perhaps the writing was already on the wall. In end May this year Low took 12-month sabbatical leave, leaving Lim in charge of the company. This was quite a surprise as Low has been the face of the company since its floatation exercise in October 2006.

It is also noteworthy that StemLife has billionaire businessman Vincent Tan Chee Yioun as a 12.12% shareholder in the company. Other substantial shareholders include Capital Group International Inc with 8.9% and Emerging Markets Growth Fund controlling 5% equity interest in Stemlife.

For its six months ended June this year, StemLife posted a net profit of RM1.5 million from RM8.5 million in revenue. Earnings per share for the six months was 0.62 sen.

StemLife also has a 40% stake in ThaiStemLife Co Ltd.

As for Cordlife Group, Bloomberg has the company focusing on cord blood banking services, including the collection, processing, testing preservation and storage of umbilical cord blood at birth.

A check on Cordlife’s annual report for FY2012 however reveals that as at mid-September last year, Cordlife Group Ltd’s largest shareholder was China Stem Cells (East) Co Ltd with 10.47%. Other substantial shareholders included City Challenge Global Ltd controlling with 9.4%, Coop International Ltd with 8.8% and Wells Spring Pte Ltd with 7.22%

For FY2012, Cordlife posted net profits of S$6.9 million from US$28.8 million in revenue.

Cordlife has a market capitalisation in excess of S$300 million.

MNRB First and Final Dividend of 32% less tax

OTHERS Proposed First and Final Dividend

MNRB HOLDINGS BERHAD

Type	Announcement
Subject	OTHERS
Description	Proposed First and Final Dividend
We are pleased to announce that the Board of Directors of MNRB Holdings Berhad had agreed to recommend the payment of First and Final Dividend of 32% less 25% income tax for the financial year ended 31 March 2013 to be paid on a date to be announced later, subject to approval by shareholders at the forthcoming 40th Annual General Meeting of the Company The above announcement was on 27 June 2013. But todate, no dividend has  been declared. Hopefully, it will do so later.

More about CSL

"China Stationery has always stressed on quality and integrity. We have so far
never strayed from these fundamental principles and goals which have served us
well in the past and which will continue to guide us in the future. We will continue
to work hard to please our customers and ourshareholders." (Excerpt from the speech by the CEO & Chairman)
Click here to read more.
I especially like the last statement: We will continue to work hard to please our customers and our share holders.
The stock price of CSL now stands at 24.5 sen. As shareholders of the stock, are you happy about this?

Dragons or Earth Worms (China-Based Stocks)

When Bursa opened its door to China-based companies for listing, it was expecting for Chinese dragons, but instead it was getting only earth worms. The above screen shows all the China-based companies listed at Bursa. A close look at the screen shows that all the stocks are trading at ridiculously low PEs. Said to be the best stock in the group, Xinguan is trading at PE of 2.32, and a fundamentally sound stock, CSL is trading at PE of 1.34! Today I shall talk about CSL. If you are interested, please read on.

CSL is an integrated plastic stationery company. Its products are sold under its own brands of

Sakura, Nachi and Foldersys.

CSL's IPO price was 95 sen per share. The stock was listed on 24-2.2012. The chart shows that it hit a high of RM1.80 before sliding downhill all the way to the last traded price of 24.5 sen.

What is most interesting about this stock is that is CEO, Chan Fung has been dumbing it as early as 16 Jan 2013. On that day he sold 61,413,500 shares at 90 sen a share. This left him with a balance 831,586,500 shares. His other disposals were as follows:

18.1.13: Disposed 38,586,500 shares at 90 sen per share

21.3.13 Disposed 50,000,000 shares at 60 sen per share

03.5.13 Disposed 60,000,000 shares at 45 sen per share

12.7.13 Disposed 120,000,000 shares at 30 sen per share

25.7.13 Disposed 20,000,000 shares at 30 sen per share

15.8.13 Disposed 160,000,000 shares at 30 sen per share

At this rate of disposals by the CEO, is there any wonder that the stock has dived to such a low level of 24.5 sen? What's ridiculous is that the CEO & Chairman of CSL, Chan Fung, attributed the poor performance of CSL to bad publicity associated to the S-Chips accounting fraud scandal in Singapore. (China-based companies listed in Singapore are known as S-Chips) He said investors should not paint with broad strokes and assume that all Chinese companies are the same. He likened CSL as the elusive thousand-mile horse, hidden among a herd of other, more ordinary horses. He said this and yet he has been disposing off his shares. This is incredible!!!

On paper, fundamentally, the stock is great. AS at 31.6.13 it has current assets of RM2,622,457,000 of which RM2,070,254,000 is in cash. Its current liabilities stand at RM242.86 million of which RM54.4 million is borrowing.

As at 31.12.12, some key statistics of the stock were as follows:

Shares Issued: 1,242,760,588

Par Value: S$0.001

EPS: 19 sen

Dividend Paid: 3.4 sen

NTA: 98 sen

Chan Fung has said that this was a financially sound company. Yes, indeed it is, at least on paper. Its earning for the last six months is reported as 9.64 sen per share. This is slightly lower than the EPS of 10.86 sen for the corresponding period of the previous year.

Before you buy into this stock at below 25 sen per share, please bear in mind that China-based stocks are infamous for creative accounting. A little bit of fancy financial footwork can make everything look rosy. And don't forget that as many as 493 Chinese companies listed on the NYSE have been de-listed, according to data by Shenying Wanguo and The Wall Street Journal.

Now, have a good look at the daily chart of CSL shown below. After a big long slide, the stock has been moving sideway for quite some time with a bias in favor of lowering prices.

Until you see a reversal in the trend, best to avoid it until then. But if you are risk-tolerant, and wish to have some excitement, now maybe a good time to buy CSL. Whatever you do, please remember that you are 100% responsible for your own action.

As usual, you buy, sell or hold at your own risk. Good Luck.

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How To Overcome A Premature Sale

While it's difficult to buy at the bottom, it is even more difficult to sell at the top. Many people make the mistake of selling prematurely. This means that before the stock moves up to its overvalued level or even to its fair-valued level, the stock is sold. How often have you heard your friends said, " After I sold out the stock shot up." 

This mistake of premature selling is made mostly by people who have no knowledge in technical analysis (TA), and have no knowledge about the fundamental aspects of the company behind the stock as well. 

Normally they buy on a tip or on rumors.  As soon as the stock rises and rises more, they are increasingly scared to lose back their gains. So their concern then, is to protect their profits. This make them sell the stock when it dips a little even in the early stages of an uptrend. Actually, they should be buying more at that time. When you are able to overcome  this weakness of selling too early, your profits will be greatly enhanced. 

The price of a stock never moves up in a straight line. It always moves up and down, and up and down. As it moves up, you will see higher highs and higher lows. But when it's in a downtrend, you will see lower highs and lower lows. You cannot see this unless you look at the chart of the stock.

In the stock market, you will do well to remember that it is profitable to follow strength, and never to buy in a downtrend. Thus the saying, " Never Catch a Falling Dagger."

To overcome the weakness of a premature sale, you must know TA, and have a good knowledge of the stock involved, otherwise you will never be able to hold on to it as the price rises.

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MNRB First & Final Dividend of 32%

MNRB will announce a first and final dividend of 32% for the financial year ended 31.3.2013, latest by end of this month. The stock gapped up with the opening price of RM3.58. It closed at RM3.73 for a gain of 18 sen. Volume transacted was above normal at 863, 500 shares. Going by the chart, the price is likely to improve further.
 AmanahRaya Trustee, the major shareholder of the stock has been selling the stock for quite some time. Despite this, the stock is moving up. Probably institutions are the buyers today. Hopefully, they will continue to buy more, going forward.

KSeng On Verge Of A Breakout

The above daily chart of KSeng shows that the stock is on the verge of a breakout. The overhead resistance is at RM5.34. Once this level is decisively breached, the stock should be on its way to a higher level. This stock is cash-rich and land-rich as well. Most of its lands are in the Iskandar region
where land value has improved immensely in recent years.
The indicators, MACD and Stochastic are in accord with their golden crosses. If the breakout is accompanied by high volume, it (the breakout) is likely to be genuine.