马 到 功 成.
Success is when the horses come. Success goes only to those who dare and act, it seldom goes to the timid.
The pessimist complains about the wind; the optimist expects it to change; the realist adjusts the sails.
Tuesday, January 26, 2010
An Understanding of Gold Price
From Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia
The Brown Bottom (or Brown's Bottom) is a term used to describe the period between 1999 and 2002, when gold prices were at their lowest in 20 years following an extended bear market.
The period takes its name from the decision of Gordon Brown, then the UK's Chancellor of the Exchequer and later to become Prime Minister, to sell approximately half of the UK's gold reserves in a series of auctions. At the time, the UK's gold reserves were worth about US$6.5 billion, accounting for about half of the UK's US$13 billion foreign currency net reserves. The UK government's intention to sell gold and reinvest the proceeds in foreign currency deposits, including euros, was announced on 7 May 1999, when the price of gold stood at US$282.40 perounce. The advance notice of the substantial sales drove the price of gold down by 10% by the time of the first auction on 6 July 1999.With many gold traders shorting, gold reached a low point of US$252.80 on 20 July. The UK eventually sold about 395 tons of gold over 17 auctions from July 1999 to March 2002, at an average price of about US$275 per ounce, raising approximately US$3.5 billion.
To deal with this and other prospective sales of gold reserves, a consortium of central banks - including the European Central Bank and theBank of England - were pushed to sign the Washington Agreement on Gold in September 1999, limiting gold sales to 400 tonnes per year for 5 years. This triggered a sharp rise in the price of gold, from around US$260 per ounce to around $330 per ounce in two weeks, before the price fell away again into 2000 and early 2001. The Central Bank Gold Agreement was renewed in 2004 and 2009.
Gold prices remained relatively low until 2001, when the price began consistently rising in a protracted bull market. By 2007, the price of gold had reached US$675, and the loss to the UK taxpayer was estimated at more the £2 billion, as the euros bought with the proceeds had also risen in value. The gold price briefly passed US$1,000 per ounce in March 2008, before reaching all-time highs of $1,043.77 on 6 October 2009 and $1,048.40 on 7 October 2009, by which time the loss to the UK taxpayer was approximately £4 billion. Gold prices continued to rise, passing US$1,100 per ounce in early November 2009.